I. GHG and climate metrics: background information and methods

“Carbon” as a synonym for GHG

In this report, “carbon” is used as a synonym for GHG emissions, in line with widespread use in the area of GHG metrics. However, the term “carbon” is inaccurate, as the GHG metrics do not cover carbon dioxide (CO₂) alone but also other GHG within the meaning of the Kyoto Protocol, such as methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O).

GHG	Share of global emissions (expressed as CO₂e)^[1]	Examples of key sources
Carbon dioxide (CO₂)	72.3 %	Burning of fossil fuels Manufacture of cement
Methane (CH₄)	19.4 %	Agriculture: cattle farming Natural gas: leaks during extraction, transport
Nitrous oxide (N₂O)	5.6 %	Agriculture: use of fertilisers
Other	2.8 %

CO₂e as a unit for GHG

The various GHGs are measured by their GHG or warming effects in CO₂e or tCO₂e.

Quantities of GHG emissions worldwide and in Germany

Annual global GHG emissions are around 51 billion tCO₂e.[2]In Germany, they amount to around 741 million tCO₂e. This means that average per capita emissions in Germany are just under 9 tCO₂e.

II. GHG and climate metrics on the euro portfolio and bonds issued by promotional and development banks

Source of GHG data

To calculate GHG metrics for Bundesbank investments in banks, GHG data derived from the banks’ disclosures (e.g. sustainability reports) are used. The Bundesbank obtains relevant data from the ESG data provider ISS ESG. When calculating GHG metrics, the Bundesbank does not use data on GHG emissions modelled or estimated by data providers.[3]

Lead times for GHG data and retroactive updates of GHG metrics from previous portfolio reference dates

In principle, the aim is to ensure that portfolio holdings and GHG data refer to the same year, data availability permitting. However, for the reporting dates of both 31 December 2024 and 31 December 2025, the GHG metrics are based on data on banks’ GHG emissions in 2024. These were the latest available GHG data when this report was prepared, which is why they were also used for the portfolio reference date of 31 December 2024. For next year’s climate-related disclosures, the plan is to retroactively adjust these calculations using GHG data for 2025. Following the same principle, the calculations as at 31 December 2024 reported in this document have been adjusted to reflect the GHG data for 2024 (with last year’s disclosures based on the 2023 data ).

Scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG emissions
Category		Comprises	Examples of sectors with comparatively high emissions
Scope 1		Direct GHG emissions	Electricity producers Producers of cement, steel Airlines
Scope 2		Indirect GHG emissions from the production of purchased energy (primarily electricity)	Heavy industry Chemical companies
Scope 3	Upstream	Indirect GHG emissions along the value chain (except scope 2)	Retail Food companies
	Downstream		Oil and gas producers Manufacturers of cars, aircraft Banks

Formulas for GHG metrics

III. GHG and climate metrics for sovereign investments

Sources and measurement approaches for GHG data

The GHG data on sovereigns used in this report are mostly obtained from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) data interface, where the UNFCCC lists GHG data recorded by sovereigns and reported to the UNFCCC. In cases where no recent GHG data are available for a given sovereign in the UNFCCC data interface, GHG data from the World Resources Institute (WRI) modelled for this report are used. The data are obtained using the production-based, or territorial, measurement approach: sovereigns are assigned those GHG emissions that occur within their borders or in their jurisdiction.

Production-based/territorial GHG emissions are also used for sub-sovereigns or federation members/regions. The respective national authorities (e.g. statistical offices) serve as data sources.

In addition, this report also considers certain GHG data based on the consumption-based measurement approach. This approach draws on foreign trade data. Unlike in the production-based approach, sovereigns are not allocated GHG emissions from exported goods but are additionally allocated GHG emissions from imported goods. However, various consumption-based methods have sometimes led to large discrepancies so far, leading to comparatively high data uncertainty.

Lead times for GHG data and retroactive updates of GHG metrics from previous portfolio reference dates

In principle, the aim is to ensure that portfolio holdings and GHG data relate to the same year provided that the relevant data are available. However, GHG data on sovereigns have longer lead times than GHG data on companies. At the time of reporting, the latest available GHG data refer to 2024. In most cases, then, the GHG data are merely a provisional basis for the GHG metrics as at the portfolio reference date of 31 December 2025. To nonetheless provide a meaningful picture of developments in sovereigns’ GHG profiles over time, longer periods are considered for the GHG metrics (WACI, total carbon emissions and carbon footprint) than for amounts not invested in sovereigns.

LULUCF as a GHG sector

Measurements of sovereign GHG emissions often differ in whether they include the land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sector. For example, LULUCF activities can be a major – and sometimes the largest – source of GHG in densely wooded regions given deforestation. By contrast, reforestation may lead to negative emissions, improving the GHG profile. LULUCF activities then constitute GHG sinks. LULUCF activities thus play an important role in many national and international climate objectives. However, given the complicated accounting of LULUCF factors, climate researchers still have reservations about the quality and comparability of such data. The GHG metrics in this report are shown both with and without LULUCF.

Formulas for GHG metrics

Methodological caveats concerning the total carbon emissions and carbon footprint of sovereign investments

The methods for calculating the total carbon emissions and carbon footprint are not as well established for investments in sovereigns as they are for investments in companies. Adequately capturing which sovereign shares and thus which GHG emissions are financed by investments in the portfolio are the main methodological challenges.

Early climate-related disclosures often took sovereign debt as the reference variable. Government bonds (held in a portfolio) do indeed form part of sovereign debt. However, sovereigns and their GHG emissions are not financed through sovereign debt alone. Under this approach, the financed emissions would therefore be overstated.

The PCAF recommends using GDP adjusted by PPP as the reference variable instead. Unlike sovereign debt, GDP adjusted by PPP is clearly related to a sovereign’s GHG emissions. However, the relationship between government bonds (held in a portfolio) and GDP adjusted by PPP is unclear.

Both approaches therefore have substantial downsides. Despite these reservations, this report includes the total carbon emissions and carbon footprint based on both approaches to contribute to the discussion of methodological developments and identify differences in results.

Production volumes of fossil fuels: methodology for the indicators

Production volumes of coal, crude oil and natural gas are measured by energy content in terajoules (TJ),[4] and are set in relation to the size of the economy (GDP adjusted by PPP), analogously to the WACI methodology. Weighted averages of the intensity of coal, crude oil and natural gas production volumes are calculated for sovereign investments on this basis.

Table 7: Supplementary GHG metrics on investments in sovereigns (reserve assets)
			Portfolio as at:
			31.12.2019	31.12.2021	31.12.2023	31.12.2025
Portfolio holdings (by nominal value)			€24.4 billion	€25.1 billion	€25.6 billion	€25.4 billion
Total carbon emissions (mn tCO₂e)	With GDP adjusted by PPP as reference variable	With LULUCF	7.27 (100 %)	7.05 (100 %)	5.61 (100 %)	5.17* (100 %)
Total carbon emissions (mn tCO₂e)		Excluding LULUCF	8.31 (100 %)	8.08 (100 %)	6.35 (100 %)	5.83* (100 %)
Carbon footprint (tCO₂e/€mn of investment)		With LULUCF	297.3 (100 %)	280.5 (100 %)	219.0 (100 %)	203.0* (100 %)
Carbon footprint (tCO₂e/€mn of investment)		Excluding LULUCF	340.0 (100 %)	321.3 (100 %)	247.7 (100 %)	229.0* (100 %)
Total carbon emissions (mn tCO₂e)	Methodology: Government debt as reference variable	With LULUCF	5.47 (100 %)	5.19 (100 %)	4.86 (100 %)	4.28* (100 %)
Total carbon emissions (mn tCO₂e)		Excluding LULUCF	6.26 (100 %)	5.92 (100 %)	5.45 (100 %)	4.79* (100 %)
Carbon footprint (tCO₂e/€mn of investment)		With LULUCF	223.6 (100 %)	206.3 (100 %)	189.6 (100 %)	168.3* (100 %)
Carbon footprint (tCO₂e/€mn of investment)		Excluding LULUCF	255.9 (100 %)	235.3 (100 %)	212.5 (100 %)	188.1* (100 %)
* Preliminary metrics based on the latest available GHG data (mostly for 2024). Total carbon emissions and carbon footprint with coverage (according to portfolio volume) in italics and in brackets. Sources: ISS ESG, Bundesbank data and calculations.

World Resources Institute (WRI) data on global GHG emissions in 2023.
World Resources Institute (WRI) data on global GHG emissions in 2023.
This results in lower data coverage than would be the case if data providers’ modelled GHG data were included. However, depending on the methodology used by the data providers, such data may deviate further from each other and from actual GHG emissions, especially for banks. Data uncertainty is significantly greater here than, say, for modelled GHG data on sovereigns for which macroeconomic data can be used as a modelling basis.
In accordance with the International Energy Agency (IEA)’s standard for countries’ energy balances.

Climate-related disclosures by the Deutsche Bundesbank 2026 Part of the Eurosystem-wide climate-related disclosures